Oklahoma Sooners updated ESPN Matchup Predictor

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Oklahoma Sooners updated ESPN Matchup Predictor

The No. 1 Oklahoma Sooners head into Week 12 with a simple path to the College Football Playoff. Win their final three games against the Alabama Crimson Tide, Missouri Tigers, and LSU Tigers, and they’ll earn an at-large bid for the CFP.

But it won’t be easy. The Sooners will face No. 4 Alabama on the road in Tuscaloosa before returning home to take on No. 24 Missouri and an LSU Tigers team that has a great defense, even if their offense is struggling.

The Sooners will be an underdog on the road this week against the Tide, but they look like they’ll be home favorites to close the season.

With Week 11 in the books, how does the ESPN matchup predictor see the rest of the Sooners’ 2025 schedule playing out? Here’s an updated look at the game-by-game predictions.

Nov. 15 at Alabama Crimson Tide

Oct 11, 2025; Columbia, Missouri, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Ty Simpson (15) throws against the Missouri Tigers during the first half of the game at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Alabama

Sooners Win Probability: 28.4% (Up from 27.1%)

Projected running record: 7-3

Nov. 22 vs. Missouri Tigers

Oct 11, 2025; Columbia, Missouri, USA; Missouri Tigers running back Ahmad Hardy (29) runs the ball against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the first quarter of the game at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 64.7% (Up from 59.5%)

Projected running record: 8-3

Nov. 29 vs. LSU Tigers

Tigers Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier 18, LSU Tigers take on the South Carolina Gamecocks. October 11, 2025; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; at Tiger Stadium.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 66.2% (Up from 65.7%)

Projected running record: 9-3

Oklahoma Sooners on the Bubble

A 9-3 finish would be a strong season for the Oklahoma Sooners, but could leave OU on the outside looking in. The final three games will tell the story of their 2025 season. If Oklahoma can win out, they’ll be in the playoff. A 2-1 record over the final three, and the Sooners will need a lot of help to get int.

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This article originally appeared on Sooners Wire: Oklahoma Sooners updated season predictions from ESPN

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