What are the odds that Texas QB Arch Manning wins the Heisman Trophy?
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Will Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy? Right now, Manning is one of two favorites to become the third Longhorns player to win the prize.
BetMGM has released the Heisman Trophy odds and betting favorites For 2026. Two names share the top spot in the developing futures market for college football’s top award. Manning and Notre Dame QB Marcus Freeman are both +750 to take home the award. Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss, Ohio State's Julian Sayin and Miami's Darian Mensah round out the top five.
Last offseason, as the national media rushed to crown Arch Manning as the greatest quarterback of his generation, there were plenty of early predictions of a third Heisman Trophy at Texas. It didn't work out that way in 2025. In hindsight, it wasn't very realistic. But for 2026? It is very realistic.
The redshirt junior passed for 3,163 yards with 26 touchdowns to seven interceptions in 2025. Manning also rushed for 399 yards with 10 touchdowns. He ended the season with a huge game against Michigan in the Citrus Bowl, totaling 376 yards with four touchdowns in the 41-27 win.
| Player (2026 Team) | 2026 Odds | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr (Notre Dame) | +750 | +700 |
| Arch Manning (Texas) | +750 | +800 |
| Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) | +900 | [off the board] |
| Julian Sayin (Ohio State) | +1100 | +1200 |
| Darian Mensah (Miami) | +1100 | [off the board] |
| Dante Moore (Oregon) | +1200 | +1100 |
| Josh Hoover (Indiana) | +1200 | +1200 |
| Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) | +1200 | +1400 |
| Sam Leavitt (LSU) | +1600 | +1400 |
| Gunner Stockton (Georgia) | +1600 | +1500 |
| Jayden Maiava (USC) | +2500 | +1400 |
| Marcel Reed (Texas A&M) | +2500 | +2200 |
| John Mateer (Oklahoma) | +2500 | +2500 |
| Bryce Underwood (Michigan) | +3500 | +3500 |
| Malachi Toney (Miami) | +3500 | +4000 |
| LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina) | +3500 | +4000 |
| Keelon Russell (Alabama) | +3500 | +8000 |
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