Week 13 college football lines and picks

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Here we go again. Nothing cute. Let’s get to it.

As usual, I’m using the lines over at the FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Disclaimer: these are just my opinions. Please do your own analysis and pick accordingly. I am not telling you what to do with your money. Be responsible. Have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&C apply; lines subject to change.)

And now, on with this week’s picks…

Miami at VIRGINIA TECH +17.5

I’m with Justin Dottavio on this one. I think Miami wins this game by double digits, but this will be a bit more sluggish than an outright whooping that gets over the mark. A 34-17 score, which would be impressive enough, wouldn’t even be a cover here.

Tennessee at FLORIDA +3.5

This is the easiest line of the week by a country mile. Tennessee’s offense is tops in the SEC in scoring, but the game is in the Swamp, where Tennessee hasn’t won since 2003. This Gators team has been Jekyll/Hyde since Billy Napier’s firing, playing inspired football against Georgia and Ole Miss but posting perhaps the worst performance of the season by anyone this year in a 38-7 loss at Kentucky. They’ll look elite against the Vols like they do almost every year and win outright.

Pittsburgh at GEORGIA TECH -2.5

Hard to tell much about Pittsburgh last week against the Irish after Pat Narduzzi all but said the game didn’t matter. And, well, they played like it. But Georgia Tech has been better at home than they have been on the road, and they’ll shut down Miami’s ACC hopes with a gut-wrenching win on Saturday night.

USC +9.5 at Oregon

The Trojans have been better at home than on the road, but Oregon hasn’t been world beaters this season by any means, and they’ve underwhelmed at home in a 10-point loss to Indiana and sloppy, ugly win over Wisconsin. Don’t know if the Trojans win, but I think this is a fight that goes the distance.

Charlotte at GEORGIA -43.5

These kinds of games make me a bit nervous sometimes, but it’s late in the season, and it’s time for teams to run it up and put as many style points up as they can. Charlotte is perhaps the worst FBS team in the country, and against one of college football’s elite, this should be a 60-minute slaughter.

BYU at CINCINNATI +2.5

BYU surprised me a bit last week with a steamrolling of TCU, but Vegas is telling me this should be a close game on the road as is SP+, and with the game at night in Nippert Stadium, I’ll call for the Bearcats to deliver a big upset that helps out the Hurricanes significantly.

Kansas State at UTAH -17.5

But I don’t do the same for the Utes. K State is a bit of a week-to-week enigma sometimes, but I think Utah, outside of Texas Tech, has been strong at home, and they’ll win handily here.

WASHINGTON -10.5 at UCLA

I’m going out on a limb here, as Nico Iamaleava, who is dealing with a concussion that kept him out against Ohio State, hasn’t been cleared yet. If he’s out, I don’t think UCLA’s offense – where Iamealava’s running ability has been a major factor all season – can do enough to keep up with the Huskies.

Florida State at NC STATE +5.5

Vegas is trying to tell me something here, and the Wolfpack looked like a very poor team last week (to Miami’s credit). However, in Raleigh, the Pack has beaten Virginia and handed Georgia Tech their only loss in controlling fashion. FSU still hasn’t won an ACC road game since 2023, and while that might happen on Saturday, I’m still going with the Pack plus almost a touchdown to find out.

Arkansas at TEXAS -8.5

The Horns have been pretty good at home this season, and their defense is decent enough to slow a pretty solid Arkansas offense. But the Hogs haven’t been able to stop anyone, and this will be a get right game for Arch Manning and the Texas offense in an old Southwest Conference battle.

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