Gameday Central: Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals – Previews, predictions, how to watch, odds

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The Florida State Seminoles will face the Louisville Cardinals tonight at L&N Stadium in Louisville, Kentucky, in the ACC Friday night showcase. The game will kick off at 7:00 p.m. and will be televised nationally on ESPN.
FSU looks to extend its 2-game win streak, while Louisville looks to avoid dropping its 3rd straight. All three of Louisville’s losses this season have come by three points each.
Florida State (3-2, 1-1 ACC) leads the all-time series 18-6, including a 7-3 record at Louisville (2-3, 1-2 ACC). FSU has won the last two games against the Cardinals, including a 16-6 victory in the 2023 ACC Championship Game and a 35-31 win in their most recent regular-season matchup in Louisville in 2022.
Florida State is trending as a 3.5-point underdog, with the over/under set at 59.5 points, according to FanDuel.
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- Please move to the FSU vs. Louisville live game thread 15 MINUTES BEFORE KICKOFF.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals
Pre-Game Coverage from Tomahawk Nation
- TN Staff Predictions:Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals
- Line of Scrimmage: Inside look at the Louisville Cardinals with John Powell from Card Chronicle
- Injury Report:Florida State and Louisville release initial availability report ahead of Friday night clash
- How To Watch:Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals
- Snap Counts:Offensive and defensive snap counts from Florida State’s beatdown of Virginia
- Media:“Playing as all 11 as one”: FSU defense takes a step forward against Virginia
- Media Monday:Mike Norvell on Louisville: “We got to go earn it”
- Ashton Daniels, Andre Otto named ACC Players of the Week; Daniels named to O’Brien Great 8
- Column: Where has THIS Florida State team been?
- Column:Florida State’s defense finally delivers with dominant showing in Virginia win
- Ashton Daniels sets FSU all-time single-game rushing touchdown record
- Guest column:The numbers behind how Mike Norvell built Florida State back up, then took it apart
- “ACC Requested Change”: Inside the conference’s campaign for the Protect College Sports Act, Part 2
- “Confidential — Do Not Distribute”: Inside ACC’s campaign for the Protect College Sports Act
- Mike Norvell’s FSU salary, buyout info
Florida State Seminoles vs. Louisville Cardinals: How to watch, stream, odds
Date
- Friday, October 9th
Time
- 7:00 p.m. ET
Watch/Stream
Listen
- Seminoles Radio Network
- FSU Broadcast: Ch. 258 |SXM App
Spread
- +3.5, Florida State
Over/Under
- 59.5 points
FSU vs. Louisville: Game notes
via FSU Sports Info
- After a dominant 38-7 win over Virginia, Florida State continues its ACC schedule with a Friday night game at Louisville. The game will air on ESPN at 7:00 p.m.
- FSU is 18-6 all-time against the Cardinals, including a 7-3 record in Louisville. Florida State has won the last two meetings in the series, a 35-31 win at Louisville in 2022 and a 16-6 win in the 2023 ACC Championship Game in Charlotte.
- Quarterback Ashton Daniels set an FSU record with five rushing touchdowns against Virginia. The performance tied a Doak Campbell Stadium record and matched the most by any quarterback in ACC history. Daniels’ fourth rushing touchdown tied FSU’s longest play of the season, and the second-longest rush by a quarterback in school history.
- Daniels ranks third nationally with nine rushing touchdowns and is also third with 15.87 yards per completion. He had 183 passing yards, a career-high 136 rushing yards, and five touchdowns against Virginia, becoming the only FBS player since at least 1995 to reach those marks in a game.
- Daniels rushed for two touchdowns, threw two touchdown passes, and ran for a two-point conversion at No. 10 Alabama. He is the only player in FBS in 2026 with multiple rushing and passing touchdowns and a two-point conversion. He is one of just four players since 1995 to accomplish that feat in a road game against a Power 4 opponent.
- Daniels needed just 17 completions to rack up 377 yards. His 22.2 yards per completion are the most Alabama has allowed to a player with at least seven completions since 1995. The Seminoles scored 36 points at Alabama, the most the Crimson Tide have allowed in a non-conference game in Tuscaloosa since 2000.
- FSU’s defense allowed just 2.85 yards per play against Virginia, including only 0.9 yards per rush. The Cavaliers managed 205 yards on 72 plays, with just 37 rushing yards on 40 carries. Florida State recorded 10 sacks, one shy of the school record and the most in an ACC game since 1997. The 10 sacks matched the most in an ACC game since 2005.
- The 37 rushing yards were the fewest Florida State has allowed in an ACC game since 2016, when Syracuse gained 37 yards in an 81-14 FSU win. FSU ran for 281 yards against the Cavaliers, giving the Seminoles a +244 rushing margin, the largest in any ACC game since 2020 and the program’s largest margin in a conference game since 2016.
- In its last two games, Florida State has allowed just 14 total points while holding opponents to a combined 312 yards and 177 yards per game.
- The Seminoles rank second in the ACC and eighth nationally by allowing only 3.4 sacks per game. Their average of 7.2 tackles for loss per game ranks fourth in the conference and 20th nationally.
- Florida State is 21-for-21 in the Red Zone this season and has scored on all 21 red-zone possessions. The Seminoles rank second nationally in Red Zone scoring and are the only team among national leaders with a perfect conversion rate. Their 80.95% Red Zone touchdown percentage (17 of 21) ranks first in the ACC and 11th nationally.
- Kicker Gabe Paniowski is 21-for-21 on field-goal attempts in his NCAA career, including 6-for-6 this season. He is the only active qualified kicker (minimum 15 attempts) in any NCAA division with a perfect career field-goal percentage.
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