How does Oklahoma compare to 2026 opponents in ESPN's SP+?

How does Oklahoma compare to 2026 opponents in ESPN's SP+?

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How does Oklahoma compare to 2026 opponents in ESPN's SP+?

The Oklahoma Sooners are set to open the 2026 college football season in a little over a week. They'll begin their journey on improving upon their 10-win season and College Football Playoff appearance a season ago. To return to the playoffs, they'll have to go through some of the best teams in the country on a schedule that's among the toughest in college football.

But the Sooners faced a difficult schedule last year and overcame it with big wins over Michigan, Tennessee, and Alabama to cement themselves as a playoff team. Can they do it again?

This year, Oklahoma will face eight teams inside the top 25 of Bill Connelly's SP+ metrics. Oklahoma ranks No. 11. Three of their opponents rank in the top 10. The Sooners enter the season with arguably the best team of the Brent Venables era. They have an offense returning a lot of snaps from last season, with a quarterback that's healthy again. OU has a defense that has elite talent at all three levels and should be as disruptive as we saw a season ago.

On paper, the Sooners look like a contender. But how does Oklahoma compare to their opponents in SP+ metrics heading into the season?

What is SP+?

SP+ is a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. It is a predictive measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football, not a résumé ranking, and, along those same lines, these projections aren't intended to be a guess at what the AP Top 25 will look like at the end of the year. These are simply early offseason power rankings based on the information we have been able to gather to date. Connelly, ESPN

Oklahoma Sooners in the SP+ Rankings

Nov 29, 2025; Norman, Oklahoma, USA;  Oklahoma Sooners head coach Brent Venables hugs Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) after the game against the Louisiana State Tigers at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
1125833

UTEP Miners

Sept. 5 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
127125115114

Michigan Wolverines

Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) celebrates after a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the University of Michigan Wolverines at Gaylord Family Ð Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Sept. 6, 2025. Oklahoma won 24-13.

Sept. 12 in Ann Arbor, Mich.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
151613113

New Mexico

Sept. 19 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
68707113

Georgia Bulldogs

Sept. 26 in Athens, Ga.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
4553

BYE WEEK

Oct. 3

Texas Longhorns

Oklahoma Sooners defensive back Billy Bowman Jr. (2), Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Kip Lewis (10), Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Jaren Kanak (7) and Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Dasan McCullough (1) stop Texas Longhorns running back Jonathon Brooks (24) during the Red River Rivalry college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the University of Texas (UT) Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. Oklahoma won 34-30.

Oct. 10 at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
691031

Kentucky Wildcats

Oct. 17 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
47653475

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Jul 23, 2026; Tampa, FL, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs head coach Jeff Lebby speaks to the press during SEC Football Kickoff Media Day at the Tampa Marriott. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Oct. 24 in Starkville, Miss.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
52377421

South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct. 31 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
24412119

Florida Gators

Dec 30, 2020; Arlington, TX, USA; Oklahoma Sooners running back Rhamondre Stevenson (29) runs the ball in the third quarter against the Florida Gators at ATT Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Nov. 7 in Gainesville, Fla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
20401217

Ole Miss Rebels

Nov. 14 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
1611261

Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 30, 2024; College Station, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns wide receiver Parker Livingstone (13) reacts after the game against the Texas A&M Aggies. The Longhorns defeated the Aggies 17-7 at Kyle Field. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images

Nov. 21 in Norman, Okla.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
981499

Missouri Tigers

Nov. 28 in Columbia, Mo.

OverallOffenseDefenseSpecial Teams
192418118

Biggest Takeaway

The Oklahoma Sooners rank in the top 33 in offense, defense, and special teams SP+. Only three teams on their schedule rank in the top 33 in each of those categories: Georgia, Texas, and Ole Miss. Oklahoma will also face challenges from teams that rank in the top 40 in all three categories, like Florida or South Carolina, which ranks No. 41 in offensive SP+ but is inside the top 40 in the other two categories.

Only the cream will rise to the crop in 2026. If the Oklahoma Sooners are able to manage their schedule and come away with double-digit wins, they'll prove to be one of the best teams in the nation and a threat to win it all.

SEC SP+ RankingsSEC SP+ Rankings

Rank (Overall)Offense RankDefense RankSpecial Teams
1. Georgia (4)553
2. Texas (6)7831
3. Texas A&M (9)101499
4. LSU (10)21253
5. Alabama (11)324109
6. Oklahoma (12)271033
7. Tennessee (15)45034
8. Ole Miss (16)11251
9. Florida (19)391217
10. Missouri (20)2415118
11. South Carolina (24)442119
12. Auburn (26)551851
13. Vanderbilt (31)15567
14. Arkansas (47)139144
15. Mississippi State (52)417621
16. Kentucky (53)753675

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This article originally appeared on Sooners Wire: How does Oklahoma compare to 2026 opponents in ESPN's SP+?

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