Tennessee's 2026 record projection, strength of schedule after Week 2
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Tennessee (2-0) concluded Week 2 of the 2026 college football season. The Vols were victorious, 45-24, against Georgia Tech (0-2) at Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
Tennessee also defeated Furman, 56-9, at Neyland Stadium in Week 1 this season.
The Vols' home schedule in 2026 consists of games against Furman (W, 56-9), Kennesaw State, Texas, Auburn, Alabama, Kentucky and LSU, while playing at Georgia Tech (W, 45-24), Arkansas, South Carolina, Texas A&M and Vanderbilt.
Below is Tennessee's 2026 football schedule, along with updated game-by-game win percentage chances from ESPN's Matchup Predictor after Week 2.
2026 Week 3 – Tennessee football updated win percentage chances each game
| Date | Opponent | Result/win % chance |
| Sept. 5 | Furman (Knoxville, Tennessee) | W, 56-9 |
| Sept. 12 | Georgia Tech (Atlanta, Georgia) | W, 45-24 |
| Sept. 19 | Kennesaw State (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 97.8% |
| Sept. 26 | Texas (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 23.6% |
| Oct. 3 | Auburn (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 66.6% |
| Oct. 10 | Arkansas (Fayetteville, Arkansas) | 89.3% |
| Oct. 17 | Alabama (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 40.0% |
| Oct. 24 | South Carolina (Columbia, South Carolina) | 50.0% |
| Oct. 31 | Open date | |
| Nov. 7 | Kentucky (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 87.3% |
| Nov. 14 | Texas A&M (College Station, Texas) | 27.4% |
| Nov. 21 | LSU (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 42.9% |
| Nov. 28 | Vanderbilt (Nashville, Tennessee) | 75.5% |
Tennessee football's strength of schedule, record projection after Week 2
Following Week 2, Tennessee is up seven spots to No. 11 overall in ESPN's FPI rankings. The Vols are projected to finish their regular season with an 8.0-4.1 record after a 7.3-4.7 preseason record projection.
Tennessee also has a 93.5% chance to win at least six games, 3% chance to win the SEC, 26.9% chance to make the College Football Playoff and a 1.1% chance to win a national title after Week 2.
Tennessee has the 72nd-hardest strength of schedule nationally and the 14th-hardest remaining strength of schedule. The Vols are ranked No. 6 nationally for game control and No. 11 for strength of record. Strength of record rankings reflect a chance that an average top 25 team would have a team's record or better, given the schedule.
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This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Tennessee's 2026 record projection, strength of schedule after Week 2
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