Updated game-by-game Oklahoma Sooners predictions from ESPN

Updated game-by-game Oklahoma Sooners predictions from ESPN

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Updated game-by-game Oklahoma Sooners predictions from ESPN

The Oklahoma Sooners are 2-1 on the season. Not where many thought they'd be three games in. Sure, they earned a win over New Mexico, but it wasn't the performance we were looking for from the offense. The offense isn't where many thought they'd be either. And yet, because of the defense, everything is still right there in front of them. But the Sooners have to find some answers and find them quickly.

Oklahoma begins the SEC slate this week when they make the trip to Athens to take on the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs. Since 2017, Kirby Smart's second year at the helm, the Bulldogs have lost just twice at home.

Oklahoma's College Football Playoff hopes hinge on the offense finding some answers. After the loss to Michigan, they don't have a lot of room for error.

Each week, the ESPN Matchup Predictor updates their win probabilities for each team in college football. After Oklahoma's loss over Michigan, how has their season changed according to the computers?

Here's how ESPN Analytics projects the Oklahoma Sooners to fare in 2026.

Sept. 4 vs. UTEP Miners

Oklahoma's John Mateer (10) hands the ball off to Lloyd Avant (9) in the second half of the college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners and the UTEP Miners at the Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Sept. 4, 2026.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma – 99%

Result: Oklahoma 51, UTEP 0

Record: 1-0

Sept. 12 at Michigan Wolverines

Sep 6, 2025; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Owen Heinecke (38) applies pressure on Michigan Wolverines quarterback Bryce Underwood (19) during the second half at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma – 64.4%

Result: L, 17-10

Record: 1-1

Sept. 19 vs. New Mexico Lobos

Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) looks to make a pass in the second half against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Gaylord Family OK Memorial Stadium.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Result: W, 14-6

Record: 2-1

Sept. 26 at Georgia Bulldogs

Jan 1, 2018; Pasadena, CA, USA; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass against the Georgia Bulldogs in the 2018 Rose Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Rose Bowl Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Georgia

Sooners Win Probability: 16.6% (Down from 19.6%)

Projected running record: 2-2

Oct. 10 vs. Texas Longhorns (Cotton Bowl)

Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) drops back to pass during the Red River Rivalry college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the University of Texas (UT) Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. Oklahoma won 34-30.

Predicted Winner: Texas

Sooners Win Probability: 23.7% (Up from 21.8%)

Projected running record: 2-3

Oct. 17 vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats quarterback Kenny Minchey (3) throws the ball during the Kentucky Football spring game on April 18, 2026; Lexington, KY, USA; at Kroger Field.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 79% (Down from 88%)

Projected running record: 3-3

Oct. 24 at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 13, 2025; Starkville, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs tight end Emeka Iloh (84) and head coach Jeff Lebby react during the second half against the Alcorn State Braves at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. Mandatory Credit: Wesley Hale-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 50.7% (Down from 60.1%)

Projected running record: 4-3

Oct. 31 vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct 18, 2025; Columbia, South Carolina, USA; Oklahoma Sooners running back Tory Blaylock (6) rushes against the South Carolina Gamecocks in the first quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 71.5% (Up from 67.8%)

Projected running record: 5-3

Nov. 7 at Florida Gators

Jan 8, 2008; Miami, FL, USA; Florida Gators quarterback Tim Tebow (15) throws a pass to wide receiver Louis Murphy (front) for a touchdown during the second quarter of the 2009 BCS Championship Game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Dolphin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Florida

Sooners Win Probability: 42.7% (Down from 46.4%)

Projected running record: 5-4

Nov. 14 vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Oklahoma Sooners running back Xavier Robinson (24) runs for a touchdown during a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Ole Miss Rebels at Gaylord Family Ð Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Oct. 25, 2025. Ole Miss won 34-26.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 54.1% (Down from 64.4%)

Projected running record: 6-4

Nov. 21 vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 11, 2005; Norman, OK USA; Oklahoma Sooners safety (1) Reggie Smith reacts after making a play the during the 1st quarter against the Texas A&M Aggies at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports Copyright (c) 2005 Tim Heitman

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 52.1% (Up from 40.7%)

Projected running record: 7-4

Nov. 28 at Missouri Tigers

Nov 22, 2025; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Kendal Daniels (5) reacts during the game against the Missouri Tigers at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 62% (Up from 60.1%)

Projected running record: 8-4

Still Some Hope

Things look pretty dire right now for the Oklahoma Sooners after the offense struggled for the second straight week. However, the offense can't get much worse at this point. Can they find a spark as they prepare for the Georgia Bulldogs? They'll need to if they want to have a shot on the road in Athens.

Contact/Follow us @SoonersWire on X (formerly known as Twitter), and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Oklahoma news, notes, and opinions.You can also follow John on X @john9williams.

This article originally appeared on Sooners Wire: Updated game-by-game Oklahoma Sooners predictions from ESPN

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