Betting predictions for Michigan vs Oklahoma, Ohio State vs Texas

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Aug 30, 2025; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes safety Jaylen McClain (18) tries to tackle Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) in the fourth quarter at Ohio Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Robertson – Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

There are two huge games in the Big Ten on Saturday and likely the two most watched and talked-about games on the entire college football schedule — No. 11 Oklahoma at Michigan and No. 1 Ohio State at No. 4 Texas.

Here’s a look at the betting odds and over/under for both games and our predictions.

Odds courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook

No. 1 Ohio State at No. 4 Texas

Spread: Texas -1.5

Over/under: 49.5 points

This game is a toss-up, and the slim spread indicates that it could be a close one. Both teams are quite even on paper, and Texas is the slight favorite because they are the home team.

While home-field advantage matters, so does recent history. Ohio State is 3-2 against Texas, winning the last two — 14-7 last season and 28-14 in the Cotton Bowl CFP semifinal in January of 2025.

This will be a great quarterback matchup featuring two Heisman contenders in Ohio State’s Julian Sayin and Texas’ Arch Manning. Both Sayin and Manning were stellar in their season openers — Sayin was 21-of-25 for 320 yards and three touchdowns. Manning was 20-of-27 for 305 yards with four touchdowns and one interception.

Sayin and Manning will have talented wideouts to throw to. Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith had eight receptions in the opener for 151 yards and two touchdowns; Devin McCuin was also impressive for OSU with six grabs for 97 yards and a touchdown. Texas receiver Ryan Wingo had seven receptions last week for 121 yards, and Cam Coleman had three receptions for 70 yards and two touchdowns.

The rushing attacks for both teams are also good. Ohio State duo Bo Jackson and Ja’Kobi Jackson both had 83 rushing yards and a score, while Texas back Hollywood Smothers had 70 yards last week and a touchdown.

As good as the offenses are, both teams are expected to have stout defenses this year. Texas allowed just seven points to Texas State last week, and Ohio State allowed three to Ball State. Factoring in the score last year between Ohio State and Texas was 14-7, the game going over 49.5 points could be a reach, even with talented playmakers on offense for both squads.

Even though Texas is favored, recent trends should matter more than where the game is being played. While there is no safe choice here, I’m leaning toward Ohio State pulling out a close one in Austin.

Prediction: Ohio State +1.5, under 49.5 points

No. 11 Oklahoma at Michigan

Spread: Oklahoma -4.5

Over/under: 43.5 points

Michigan’s coming off an embarrassing 13-12 victory over Western Michigan, where they were bailed out via a Hail Mary after an extra second was put back on the clock. Michigan fell out of the AP Top 25 despite winning, and ticket prices have plummeted for the Oklahoma game since last week. In short, Michigan fans aren’t happy, and Michigan safety Rod Moore even said the team played soft last week. It seems like an uphill battle improving enough in seven days to take on a force like the Sooners.

Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood was downright bad in the opener, going 12-of-22 for 170 yards with a touchdown, interception, and fumble. The offensive line wasn’t cohesive either. Michigan’s defense was the only bright spot. Underwood’s turnovers gave WMU favorable field position and netted them six points in all. Michigan’s defense was on the field for over 40 minutes, and the only surprise is that they didn’t give up more points while being on the field that long.

Oklahoma is looking to get back to the College Football Playoff after losing to Alabama in the first round last season. Quarterback John Mateer played much of last season with an injured hand that has since healed, and the Sooners looked sharp in a 51-0 win over UTEP last week.

Oklahoma beat Michigan 24-13 a season ago in Norman, and there’s currently no evidence that Michigan has improved any this year. It’s surprising the spread isn’t larger. Michigan could surprise and pull off an upset, but there’s a far greater likelihood that Oklahoma covers, and this game nears blowout territory, especially if Underwood plays poorly and stays in the game.

Prediction: Oklahoma -4.5, over 43.5 points

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