Big 12 tiebreaker scenarios: Title game paths for Texas Tech, BYU, Utah, Arizona State

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The race for the Big 12 championship game will come down to the final week of the 2025 college football regular season.

The two favorites ― No. 7 Texas Tech (No. 5 College Football Playoff ranking) and No. 11 BYU (No. 11 CFP) ― sit in a prime position to set up a rematch of the Nov. 8 regular season matchup. If both the Red Raiders and Cougars win, they’ll be in the championship game.

Texas Tech enters the final week sitting with a 10-1 record and a 7-1 mark in Big 12 play, while the Cougars have the same record, but the head-to-head loss to the Red Raiders.

However, Utah and Arizona State are waiting in the wings for a potential berth in the championship game, if one or both teams should somehow stumble. Both the Utes and Sun Devils need a victory, but will need some help as well.

Here’s a look at each Big 12 contender’s path to a conference championship game berth in 2025.

Big 12 championship tiebreakers

Texas Tech (10-1, 7-1 Big 12)

Path to Big 12 championship game: Beat West Virginia; Or BYU loses to UCF

Texas Tech wins and it is in the Big 12 championship game. That’s the simplest path for the Red Raiders. However, a loss to West Virginia does not mean they are out, as if BYU loses to UCF, Texas Tech can backpedal into the conference championship.

BYU (10-1, 7-1)

Path to Big 12 championship game: Beat UCF or lose one; Or Arizona State loses to Arizona

Just like Texas Tech, BYU sits in a win-and-in situation. However, a loss to the Knights could complicate matters. The Cougars would need Arizona State to lose to in-state rival Arizona if they drop their matchup against the Knights.

Arizona State (8-3, 6-2)

Path to Big 12 championship game: Arizona State beats Arizona and BYU loses to UCF

This is where the scenarios get a little more interesting. Arizona State needs to beat Arizona and have BYU lose to the Knights. The Sun Devils lost to Texas Tech earlier this season, so winning a tie-breaker against the Red Raiders is a no-go

Utah (9-2, 6-2)

Path to Big 12 championship game: Utah beats Kansas and Arizona State has to beat Arizona and then West Virginia beats Texas Tech

Utah’s path to the conference championship game is complicated. The Utes need all of the following: Beat Kansas, have Arizona State beat Arizona and then Texas Tech has to lose to West Virginia. Of the four teams, the Utes have the most complicated path in.

Big 12 tiebreaker rules

Here are the Big 12’s tiebreaker rules, according to the conference.

A. The tied teams will be compared based on their head-to-head record during the season.
B. The tied teams will be compared based on win percentage against all common conference opponents.
C. The tied teams will be compared based on win percentage against the next highest-placed common opponent in the standings (based on the record in all games played within the Conference) proceeding through the standings.
D. The tied teams will be compared based on combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents.
E. The tied teams will be compared based on total number of wins in a 12-game season.
F. The representative will be chosen based on highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team rating score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.
G The representative will be chosen by a coin toss.

This article originally appeared on Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: Big 12 tiebreaker scenarios: Title game paths for Texas Tech, others

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