2026 Heisman Trophy Odds: Carr, Manning Setting the Preseason Pace

2026 Heisman Trophy Odds: Carr, Manning Setting the Preseason Pace

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2026 Heisman Trophy Odds: Carr, Manning Setting the Preseason Pace

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The 2026 Heisman Trophy odds saw plenty of preseason drama due to the Brandon Sorsby saga. But we are past that now, and it's CJ Carr and Arch Manning maintaining their spots atop the board.

Below are the latest college football odds to win the 2026 Heisman Trophy.

Heisman Trophy odds

 

Player NameKalshi
Probability
American
Odds
Notre Dame CJ Carr13%+669
Texas Arch Manning12%+733
Duke Darian Mensah7%+1329
Oklahoma John Mateer7%+1329
Ohio State Julian Sayin7%+1329
Mississippi Trinidad Chambliss7%+1329
Oregon Dante Moore6%+1567
Indiana Josh Hoover6%+1567
Ohio State Jeremiah Smith5%+1900
Texas A&M Marcel Reed5%+1900

Odds as of 7-23. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

Heisman Trophy favorites

CJ Carr had a golden arm for the "Golden Domers" last year, throwing for 2,741 yards and 24 touchdowns. The Notre Dame man competed 66.6% of his passes, and will front a team that's toward the top of the college football win totals in 2026.

Arch Manning, who was favored in the 2025 preseason Heisman odds, is a close second choice despite a disappointing 2025 campaign for Texas.

Trinidad Chambliss leads a quartet on players tied for third-choice status. The Mississippi signal caller threw for 22 touchdowns and only three interceptions, while running for another eight scores.

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Heisman Trophy prediction

Keelon Russell to win Heisman (+3233)

Neither Keelon Russell nor Austin Mack has been named the starting Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback yet. Mack has more experience in Kalen DeBoer’s system dating back to Washington. However, Russell has more upside.

In this year’s spring game, Russell completed 21 of 33 passes for 240 yards, with four touchdowns and an interception. Russell also extended several plays with his legs despite wearing a non-contact jersey.

Pick made by Brad Powers on 7-20.



2026 Heisman Trophy opening odds

  • Arch Manning +800
  • CJ Carr +800
  • Jeremiah Smith +1000
  • Julian Sayin +1000
  • Josh Hoover +1200
  • Gunner Stockton +1200
  • Sam Leavitt +1200
  • Marcel Reed +1500
  • Jayden Maiava +1600
  • Dylan Raiola +1600

Heisman Trophy winners by position

PositionHeisman Trophy Awards
Running back40
Quarterback39
Wide receiver4
Tight end2
Fullback2
Halfback2
Cornerback2

Running backs won the Heisman Trophy 11 straight times from 1973 to 1983.

Heisman Trophy trends

Here are a few trends to keep in mind for the biggest individual award of the college football season.

  • Quarterbacks have dominated this award over the last 20 years, with 16 Heisman winners playing under center.
  • The Heisman trophy winner usually comes from a team with a shot at winning the national title, even though it is a regular season award. Since 2000, 14 Heisman trophy winners have played for teams that made it to the national championship game. If you're handicapping the Heisman, you might want to consider looking at which teams have the best chance of winning the title on the NCAA futures odds board.
  • Even though DeVonta Smith won the Heisman in 2020, he is one of only five seniors to win the Heisman in the last 20 years.

Heisman Trophy history

YearWinner (Position)School
2025Fernando Mendoza (QB)Indiana
2024Travis Hunter (CB/WR)Colorado
2023Jayden Daniels (QB)LSU
2022Caleb Williams (QB)USC
2021Bryce Young (QB)Alabama
2020Devonta Smith (WR)Alabama
2019Joe Burrow (QB)LSU
2018Kyler Murray (QB)Oklahoma
2017Baker Mayfield (QB)Oklahoma
2016Lamar Jackson (QB)Louisville

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