ESPN SP+ ratings system predicts final score for Michigan State-Maryland matchup
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Michigan State football will get one final crack at winning a conference game this season on Saturday in a neutral site game against Maryland. But, the formula behind ESPN’s SP+ doesn’t think it’ll happen for the Spartans.
Bill Connelly posted his weekly SP+ predictions for every FBS game this week, and it currently is projecting a Spartans’ loss to end the year on a nine-game losing streak. The algorithm has Maryland topping Michigan State by the final score of 27-24 — which is opposite from the current betting line that has Michigan State favored by just over a field goal.
Michigan State comes into this matchup with a 3-8 overall record and 0-8 mark in Big Ten play. The Spartans lost on a last-second field goal last week against Iowa, and currently are in the midst of an eight-game losing streak.
Maryland is also on a major losing skid, with the Terps losing their last seven games. The Terps are 4-7 overall and 1-7 in Big Ten play this year.
Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday. The game will be televised on the Fox Sports 1.
My Thoughts on SP+ Prediction
I will admit I was slightly surprised to see the Spartans open as a favorite at most (if not all) sports betting books on Sunday so this SP+ prediction is actually more in line for what I expected. But with that being said, this is a game between two teams that are 1-15 in Big Ten play and both in the midst of losing streaks of at least seven games. So it really is a battle of the bottom feeders in the Big Ten and could see the game being predicted anywhere from a narrow Spartans victory to narrow Terps victory.
Complete SP+ Predictions for Week 14
Click on the post below to see the complete breakdown of every Football Bowl Subdivision game that SP+ has predicted the scores for this upcoming week:
WEEK 14 SP+ PICKS
Rebs 37, #Clanga 22
UGA 36, GT 23
Indiana 43, Purdue 9
A&M 30, Texas 25
Miami 30, Pitt 24
Ohio St 31, Michigan 17
Oregon 29, UW 23
Vols 32, Vandy 31
FSU 28, Florida 21
Bama 27, Auburn 21
Irish 42, Stanford 10Some strange lines in here.https://t.co/w9ANgYY9XOpic.twitter.com/Ob0uB01pN2
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 24, 2025
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This article originally appeared on Spartans Wire: ESPN SP+ ratings system predicts final score for MSU-Maryland matchup
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