ESPN's Computer Model Predicts Winner Of College Football Playoff

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The 2025-26 College Football Playoff field is set.

The 12-team College Football Playoff field was unveiled on ESPN on Sunday afternoon. Indiana earned the No. 1 overall seed, while Miami was the last team in the field, earning the No. 10 seed. The Hoosiers, Ohio State, Georgia, Texas Tech, Oregon, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Alabama, Oklahoma, Miami, Tulane and James Madison make up the entire field.

But who will end up winning it all?

ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index, released its pick for the winner of the College Football Playoff on Sunday evening.

ESPN's computer model, the Football Power Index, released its pick for the winner of the College Football Playoff on Sunday evening.

The ESPN Football Power Index has Indiana, the No. 1 overall seed in the College Football Playoff, winning the national championship. The Hoosiers are 13-0, Big Ten champions.

Ohio State has the second-best odds, according to ESPN's computer model.

How does ESPN's computer model work?

ESPN's computer model is a projection-based system. It uses thousands of simulations to project the field.

"The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete," ESPN's computer writes.

This story was originally published by The Spun on Dec 8, 2025, where it first appeared in the College Football section. Add The Spun as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

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