SEC Championship Race Predictions: Every Contender’s Title Game Path
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The SEC might be far more unsettled than it appears.
It’s been in a holding pattern for a while. Texas A&M is unbeaten, Alabama doesn’t have a loss in conference play, Georgia lost to Bama, Ole Miss lost to Georgia, all cut and dry.
But it might get weird after this weekend.
Texas only has one loss in the SEC, and it was at Florida. It has yet to deal with the teams in the CFP top six, and least from the SEC, but that’s coming.
How will the SEC race shake out? What will happen, what are the tie-breakers, and what’s the path for each of the teams still in the hunt?
Scroll down for our prediction of every remaining SEC game, along with the three most important games and predicted final standings.
SEC Championship Prediction and Every Contender’s Path
Alabama over Georgia
This might be totally basic. Alabama beats Oklahoma and Auburn, Texas A&M beats South Carolina and Texas, and it’s Aggies vs Crimson Tide for the SEC Championship. Cut and dry.
But what if it’s not that easy? What if Texas has something to say about it?
The call is that the Longhorns lose to Georgia, but pull off the win at home against Texas A&M. Assuming Bama doesn’t hiccup against Oklahoma or Auburn, here’s how the three-way tie-breaker between Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M would work.
Ole Miss is out because of the loss to Georgia. After all of the tie-breakers, it comes down to the winning percentage of each team’s conference opponents. Texas A&M didn’t and won’t play Alabama or Ole Miss, and Georgia did.
First, here are five contenders – Oklahoma and Vanderbilt, realistically, have too much traffic to get through – and here’s the SEC Championship path for each.
Texas A&M Aggies
No sweat. Beat South Carolina, Samford, and win at Texas, and it’s in. Lose to Texas, and there’s a problem.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Beat Oklahoma, beat Auburn, and it’s in. It can still lose to Auburn and be fine as long as it beats Oklahoma.
Georgia Bulldogs
Beat Texas, and it’s in the SEC Championship. Lose, and it’s possible, but between Texas, Texas A&M, and Alabama, two would have to lose twice, and Ole Miss would have to lose once more.
Ole Miss Rebels
Beat Florida and Mississippi State, and then hope for total chaos. Georgia needs to lose to Texas. If that doesn’t happen, then either Texas A&M or Alabama has to lose twice.
Texas Longhorns
After all the drama, and all the underachieving, and all the close calls, and all the Arch rage, if the Longhorns win at Georgia, beat Arkansas, and take out Texas A&M, they’re in the SEC Championship.
Three Most Important Remaining Games of the SEC Season
1. Texas A&M at Texas, Nov. 29
This either takes on a massive importance on a national scale if Texas can pull off a win this week against Georgia, with tie-breaker scenarios for the SEC going haywire.
Or, Texas A&M wins and life goes on. But, again, this could be even more fascinating depending on …
2. Texas at Georgia, Nov. 15
This is Step One for the Longhorns. If they can pull this off and get by Arkansas, the SEC Championship chase gets thrown for a loop, especially with what could happen in …
3. Oklahoma at Alabama, Nov. 15
The Sooners have been forgotten after losing to Ole Miss a few weeks ago, but they still have just two losses – Texas being the other.
With home games against Missouri and LSU to follow, if the Sooners win in Tuscaloosa, all of a sudden, they’re in the CFP mix, even if they’re likely out of the SEC hunt.
SEC Conference Predicted Final Standings
1. Alabama 8-0
T2. Georgia 7-1
T2. Ole Miss 7-1
T2. Texas A&M 7-1
5. Texas 6-2
T6. Oklahoma 5-3
T6. Tennessee 5-3
T6. Vanderbilt 5-3
9. Missouri 4-4
10. LSU 3-5
T11. Florida 2-6
T11. Kentucky 2-6
T13. Mississippi State 1-7
T13. Auburn 1-7
T13. South Carolina 1-7
16. Arkansas 0-8
SEC Predictions For Every Remaining Game
Alabama Crimson Tide
2025 Record: 8-1
CFN Predicted Record: 11-1
Nov 15 Oklahoma W
Nov 22 Eastern Illinois W
Nov 29 at Auburn W
Arkansas Razorbacks
2025 Record: 2-7
CFN Predicted Record: 2-10
Nov 15 at LSU L
Nov 22 at Texas L
Nov 29 Missouri L
Auburn Tigers
2025 Record: 3-6
CFN Predicted Record: 5-7
Nov 15 OPEN DATE
Nov 22 Mercer W
Nov 29 Alabama L
Florida Gators
2025 Record: 3-6
CFN Predicted Record: 4-8
Nov 15 at Ole Miss L
Nov 22 Tennessee L
Nov 29 Florida State W
Georgia Bulldogs
2025 Record: 8-1
CFN Predicted Record: 11-1
Nov 15 Texas W
Nov 22 Charlotte W
Nov 28 at Georgia Tech W
Kentucky Wildcats
2025 Record: 4-5
CFN Predicted Record: 5-7
Nov 15 Tennessee Tech W
Nov 22 at Vanderbilt L
Nov 29 at Louisville L
LSU Tigers
2025 Record: 5-4
CFN Predicted Record: 7-5
Nov 15 Arkansas W
Nov 22 WKU W
Nov 29 at Oklahoma L
Mississippi State Bulldogs
2025 Record: 5-5
CFN Predicted Record: 5-7
Nov 15 at Missouri L
Nov 22 OPEN DATE
Nov 29 Ole Miss L
Missouri Tigers
2025 Record: 6-3
CFN Predicted Record: 8-4
Nov 15 Mississippi State W
Nov 22 at Oklahoma L
Nov 29 at Arkansas W
Oklahoma Sooners
2025 Record: 7-2
CFN Predicted Record: 9-3
Nov 15 at Alabama L 33-27
Nov 22 Missouri W
Nov 29 LSU W
Ole Miss Rebels
2025 Record: 9-1
CFN Predicted Record: 11-1
Nov 15 Florida W
Nov 22 OPEN DATE
Nov 29 at Mississippi State W
South Carolina Gamecocks
2025 Record: 4-5
CFN Predicted Record: 5-7
Nov 15 at Texas A&M L
Nov 22 Coastal Carolina W
Nov 29 Clemson W
Tennessee Volunteers
2025 Record: 6-3
CFN Predicted Record: 9-3
Nov 15 New Mexico State W
Nov 22 at Florida W
Nov 29 Vanderbilt W
Texas Longhorns
2025 Record: 7-2
CFN Predicted Record: 9-3
Nov 15 at Georgia L
Nov 22 Arkansas W
Nov 29 Texas A&M W
Texas A&M Aggies
2025 Record: 9-0
CFN Predicted Record: 11-1
Nov 15 South Carolina W
Nov 22 Samford W
Nov 29 at Texas L
Vanderbilt Commodores
2025 Record: 8-2
CFN Predicted Record: 9-3
Nov 15 OPEN DATE
Nov 22 Kentucky W
Nov 29 at Tennessee L
Related: Big Ten Conference Race Predictions: Here’s the Possible Curveball
This story was originally reported by College Football News on Nov 11, 2025, where it first appeared in the College Football section. Add College Football News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
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