Tennessee football strength of schedule, record projection 2026 Week 2
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The 2026 college football season enters Week 2. ESPN's College Football Power Index was updated after Week 1.
No. 18 Tennessee (1-0) won its season opener, 56-9, over Furman (1-1) at Neyland Stadium. The Vols will travel to Georgia Tech (0-1) in Week 2 (7 p.m. EDT, ESPN).
Following Week 1, Tennessee is down two spots to No. 18 overall in ESPN's FPI rankings. The Vols are projected to finish their regular season with a 7.1-4.9 record after a 7.3-4.7 preseason record projection.
Tennessee also has a 79.7% chance to win at least six games, 2% chance to win the SEC, 17.7% chance to make the College Football Playoff and a 0.7% chance to win a national title after Week 1.
Tennessee has the eighth-hardest strength of schedule and the seventh-hardest remaining strength of schedule. The Vols are ranked No. 59 nationally for game control and No. 67 for strength of record. Strength of record rankings reflect a chance that an average top 25 team would have a team's record or better, given the schedule.
Below is Tennessee's 2026 football schedule, along with updated game-by-game win percentage chances from ESPN's Matchup Predictor.
2026 Week 2 – Tennessee football updated win percentage chances each game
| Date | Opponent | Result/win % chance |
| Sept. 5 | Furman (Knoxville, Tennessee) | W, 56-9 |
| Sept. 12 | Georgia Tech (Atlanta, Georgia) | 76.5% |
| Sept. 19 | Kennesaw State (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 94.3% |
| Sept. 26 | Texas (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 18.1% |
| Oct. 3 | Auburn (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 68.8% |
| Oct. 10 | Arkansas (Fayetteville, Arkansas) | 78.8% |
| Oct. 17 | Alabama (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 34.8% |
| Oct. 24 | South Carolina (Columbia, South Carolina) | 38.8% |
| Oct. 31 | Open date | |
| Nov. 7 | Kentucky (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 79.1% |
| Nov. 14 | Texas A&M (College Station, Texas) | 25.6% |
| Nov. 21 | LSU (Knoxville, Tennessee) | 31.2% |
| Nov. 28 | Vanderbilt (Nashville, Tennessee) | 66.6% |
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This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Tennessee football strength of schedule, record projection 2026 Week 2
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