Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Quarterback Picks for College Football Week 1

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Quarterback Picks for College Football Week 1

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Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Quarterback Picks for College Football Week 1

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Quarterback props offer two intriguing angles when Notre Dame takes on Wisconsin in Week 1. 

Our Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin quarterback picks target Colton Joseph's turnover concerns and C.J. Carr's potential for limited touchdown production.

Let's dive right into my college football picks for Sunday, Sept. 6, with this neutral field kickoff set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. 

Best Wisconsin vs Notre Dame QB prop picks

For help understanding probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

PickProphetX
Probability
Wisconsin logo Colton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptionsspan data-sheets-root="1"50%/span
Notre Dame logo C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns50%

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Wisconsin QB pick: Colton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions

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Wisconsin quarterback Colton Joseph threw 10 interceptions in 12 games last season while playing for the Old Dominion Monarchs in the Sun Belt Conference.

Five of those interceptions were against the reigning national champion Indiana Hoosiers and James Madison Dukes, who both played in the 2025-26 College Football Playoffs. 

Not only is Joseph playing in a new system, but so is Wisconsin's receiving corps. In fact, the Badgers lost their first- through fourth-leading receivers from last year's team. 

Notre Dame QB pick: C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

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Notre Dame QB C.J. Carr is one of the Heisman favorites, and rightfully so. He is surrounded by future NFL players and plays quarterback for one of the most popular schools in the country. 

That said, I'm banking on head coach Marcus Freeman having a run-heavy game plan. Inside the red zone, the Fighting Irish will most likely lean on their rushing attack since they boast one of the best offensive lines in college football. 

Furthermore, Notre Dame is a -20.5 favorite, which means the market expects it to crush Wisconsin. If that's the case, the Fighting Irish will be less incentivized to have Carr drop back to pass. 

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame QB combo 

  • Wisconsin logoColton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions  
  • Notre Dame logo C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

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I'm offsetting a chalky prop (Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions) with one that should have a plus-money payout (Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns). 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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